DrupalCon Vienna 2017: Estimates are dead, long live forecasting!
About this talk
This talk, presented at Drupal Camp Dublin in May 2013 by an experienced speaker, focuses on "The lost art of estimation" and aims to improve the accuracy of project estimates. The speaker discusses the challenges of using estimates and single-figure predictions, emphasizing the importance of providing context for any figures shared. Attendees learn about the cognitive biases that can affect estimation, what data should be captured, and when to run forecasts. The session also introduces an alternative approach that employs probabilities and Monte Carlo simulations, offering insights into better communication of foreseen outcomes. Additionally, a workshop is proposed to guide participants in utilizing Open Source forecasting tools effectively.